In her post today, Nan (Nan’s Notebook), raised that age-old question about whether or not we on planet Earth are now being — or ever have been — “visited” by extraterrestrial life.
I don’t know for sure, and I certainly don’t have any concrete evidence to demonstrate that we have ever had visits from space aliens. However, I do believe that there are likely to be forms of intelligent life on other planets somewhere in our vast universe.
Before you call me a hypocrite for not believing in the existence of God due to a lack of evidence, while also believing in the possibility of intelligent extraterrestrial beings without any evidence of their existence, let me explain.
I believe in science, math, statistics, and probabilities. So let’s look at the facts.
There are an estimated 700 quintillion to 3.2 sextillion planets in the observable universe, and potentially far more in the unobservable universe. In terms of habitability, scientists suggest there are about 300 million potentially habitable planets in the Milky Way galaxy alone, which translates to roughly 50 sextillion across the entire universe.
However, only a small fraction of these planets may actually support intelligent life due to strict requirements, such as the presence of liquid water, stable climates, and suitable atmospheres. Based on current estimates, that would mean about 2.5% of these planets could potentially be habitable. The exact number of planets that support intelligent life remains unknown, with Earth being the only confirmed planet that hosts intelligent life.
So let us be conservative and calculate what 1% of the 3.2 sextillion planets in the observable universe is. That comes to 32,000,000,000,000,000,000 (or 32 quintillion) planets in the universe that could be habitable.
Or let’s just look at our home galaxy, The Milky Way, with 300 million potentially habitable planets and say that just 1/4 of 1% could be inhabited by some level of intelligent life. That leaves 750,000 planets in our own home galaxy that could support intelligent life forms.
If that’s the case, then why isn’t there any definitive evidence that any such intelligent life forms have ever visited our planet?
Space is inconceivably vast and the distances between stars is enormous. So traveling from planet A to planet B is not an overnight journey.
The speed of light is 186,282 miles per second. The closest star to Earth, other than our own Sun, is Proxima Centauri, located approximately 25 trillion miles away, which translates to 4.25 light-years away. But humans can’t travel at the speed of light. Traveling 25 trillion miles with current technology, such as a spacecraft traveling at 36,000 miles per hour, would take almost 80,000 years to get to Earth from a planet in the closest solar system to our own. 80,000 years!
Intelligent human beings have been inhabiting our planet for only a couple of hundred thousand years. So given the vast distances and the lengths of time it would take to travel those distances between stars, it shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone that there is no evidence of extraterrestrial visits.
What are the odds that, of the 3.2 sextillion planets in the observable universe, that only one — the Earth — is capable of being a habitable host to intelligent life?
How egomaniacal must we human beings be to believe that no other planet in the universe aside from our own could possibly have intelligent life?
I am neither an astrophysicist nor a mathematician. Anyone who is should feel free to check and correct, if necessary, my calculations.