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Showing posts with label Gas Prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gas Prices. Show all posts

Saturday, February 22, 2025

Another Monket Consumer Price Index, 2/21/2025

Yet another one. This time, with eggs.

Groceries purchased at Weis, 1 Weis Plaza, Nanticoke PA, 2/21/2025

Weis Quality All-Purpose Flour, 5 lb bag: $2.49 (up 10 cents since 1/25/2025)

Indian Head Yellow Cornmeal, 2 lb bag: $1.79

Celery, bunch: $1.99

White Potatoes, 5 lb bag: $4.99

McIntosh apples, 3 lb bag: $4.99

Red Seedless Grapes: $3.49/lb

Weis Quality Cottage Cheese, 1 lb: $2.19 (24 oz. out of stock)

Weis Quality Butter, 1 lb: $3.99

Weis Quality 2% milk, gallon: $4.39


EGGS

Dozen: $7.49 (did not purchase)

Carton of 18: $11.19 (purchased for $2.99 with 100 Weis Club Reward Points)


Gas prices as of 2/21/2025

Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre: $3.09/gallon

Food Express, Sans Souci Parkway, Hanover Township (nearest): $3.159/gallon (Cash price; credit is $3.259/gallon) 


Sunday, February 16, 2025

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 1/25/2025

(Yes, I realize I just did one of these for a shopping trip two weeks later. But this one has some items that I want to start tracking - produce and, most especially, eggs. We're currently in the early stages of an Avian Flu pandemic, and egg-laying chickens are being culled by the millions, so egg prices are rising dramatically.)


Groceries purchased at Weis, 1 Weis Plaza, Nanticoke PA, 1/25/2025

Weis Quality Flour, All-Purpose, 5 lb bag: $2.39

Sunkist Navel Oranges, 8 lb bag: $9.99

McIntosh Apples, 3 lb bag: $4.99

Celery, bunch: $1.99

Red Seedless Grapes: $3.49/lb

Onions, 3 lb bag: $2.99

Iceberg Lettuce, head: $2.49

Dozen Large Eggs, Weis: $6.59


Gas prices for 2/16/2025, 87 octane unleaded:

Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre: $3.09/gallon

Food Express, Sans Souci Parkway, Hanover Township (nearest): $3.16/gallon (Cash price; credit is $3.26/gallon) 

Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 2/8/2025

I may start doing these more often. My last one was in June of 2024.

This wasn't a big shopping trip, so I'm listing everything here.


Groceries purchased at Weis, 1 Weis Plaza, Nanticoke PA

Weis Quality Whole Bran Flakes (17.3 ounces): $2.50

Maier's Seeded Italian Bread: $3.49

McIntosh apples, 3 lb. bag: $4.99

Red Seedless Grapes: $3.49/lb

White Potatoes, 5 lb. bag: $4.99

Turkey Hill Ice Cream, 1.44 quarts: $3.99

Weis Quality Cottage Cheese, 24 oz: $2.89

Weis Quality Whipped Butter, 8 oz: $2.79

Weis Quality 2% milk, gallon: $4.39

Fancy Feast dry cat food, chicken & turkey, 7 lbs: $9.99


Large plain pizza purchased at Antonio's, Nanticoke 2/9/2025: $16.32 (cash price)


Gas prices as of 2/11/2025

Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre: $3.08/gallon

Food Express, Sans Souci Parkway, Hanover Township (nearest): $3.16/gallon (Cash price; credit is $3.26/gallon) 


Exchange rates for 2/11/2025 from xe.com

$1.00 =

  • 0.96642477 Euros
  • 0.80473 GBP (Great Britain pounds)
  • 1.43047 CAD (Canadian dollars)
  • 1.58922 AUD (Australian dollars)
  • 152.348 JPY (Japanese yen)
  • 7.30753 CNY (Chinese yuan)
  • 11.1973 NOK (Norwegian krone)
  • 20.5648 MXN (Mexican peso)
  • 95.8292 RUB (Russian ruble)

Sunday, June 23, 2024

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 6/16/2024

It's been over eight years since I did one of these. I'm including the previous prices for direct comparison.


Groceries purchased at Weis, 1 Weis Plaza, Nanticoke PA, 6/16/2024

(only staple items listed)


2% milk, Weis, gallon: $4.19 (previous purchase was half-gallon)

Loaf of Maiers Seeded Italian bread: $3.49

3 lb. bag McIntosh apples: $4.99

18 large eggs, Weis: $4.15

72 slices / 3 lb. American cheese: $10.49

Current prices for gallon of gasoline, 87 octane as of 6/22/2024:

Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre: $3.22

Food Express (formerly Sunoco), Sans Souci Parkway, Hanover Township: $3.40


Previous prices as of 2/2/2016

BERJAYA

Gallons and half gallons of milk are not priced the same - full gallons are usually marginally cheaper. Ignoring this, the per-gallon price of milk has increased $1.01 over the past eight years, an increase of about 32%.

The list price of a loaf of bread has gone down fifty cents over eight years.

Apple prices have stayed the same.

The price per egg is now $0.277, compared to $0.216 in 2016, an increase of about 29%.

The price per pound of American cheese is now about $3.50, compared to $5.29 eight years ago, a price drop of more than 33%.

Gas at Sam's Club is now 74% more expensive than it was eight years ago. Gas at the station on the Sans Souci Parkway in Hanover township is 75% more expensive.

It should be noted that apples and bread were both bought on sale in 2016, and the actual price paid was less than the price listed above. Sales are much less frequent today. The bread purchased most recently was on sale, and the actual price paid was $2.88.

While gas is much more expensive, I am using far less of it, since I am currently working from home four days each week.

Let's go back even further, to July 2008. This was one of the first times I did this, and the first one that captured bread and eggs.

Gasoline in 2008 was more expensive than it is today. Milk was slightly less expensive, equal to $3.88 a gallon. List price of eggs was $0.1475 each, and on sale I got them for $0.125 each. Bread was $3.19 for the same size loaf as today - $0.80 less than in 2016, and $0.30 less than 2024.

BERJAYA


Monday, July 23, 2018

Rainy Monday

Today was a three hour work day for me. Naturally, it turned into a three-and-a-half hour day, plus a bit more. On the way home I stopped to put fifteen dollars in the gas tank - just over five gallons at $2.959/gallon - ran in the house to brush my teeth, and then stopped at the dentist for a quick touch-up on the cap I had put in last week.

It rained off and on throughout the day, in brief but very heavy storms that have caused flash floods throughout the state. Both Knoebel's and Hershey Park have sustained some flooding, and Hershey Park will be closed indefinitely.

My tomatoes have shot up tremendously. How tall they are, I'm not sure, since most have started to flop over under their own weight, and one has uprooted its stake. I think most are now over six feet tall. I believe I'm still a week or two from ripe tomatoes.

My friend gets released from the hospital on Thursday. Here's to third chances.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Moon and Venus, June 14, 2010

BERJAYA Here's yet another fabulous conjunction that I totally failed to mention to anyone ahead of time, and completely forgot about myself. After I mowed my lawn and whacked my weeds across town, I settled in to watch a little TV (I'm really starting to like Rules of Engagement). Then I headed out to refill my tank with enough gas for this four-day rotation. As I rolled downhill to a local Uni-Mart, I remembered that it was a BP affiliate, and decided to get gas elsewhere. I also noticed Venus shining brilliantly over the young, thin Moon.

It took me quite a while to get to my second choice for gas, and in that time Venus and the Moon sank lower in the sky. Hurry, hurry, I thought as I filled my tank - 7.103 gallons at $2.549/gallon, with a fuel efficiency of 44.4 miles per gallon in the 315.5 miles since the last fill-up a week ago. I clicked off a quick cell phone photo at the station, recklessly risking a catastrophic gas explosion. But, hey, what is life without danger?

As I headed home I could see clouds forming in the West, occasionally blocking my view of the conjunction. Things looked worse when I pulled up at home. But I got myself to higher ground and set up my tripod at a spot where I could see the sky between two neighbors' houses. And there they were, below rooftop level but out of the zone of clouds. I took a series of nearly-identical photos.

Eventually the Moon sank from sight, and I went in to see what I had caught.


UPDATE: Here's a cropped close-up from one of the photos in this series:

BERJAYA

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

If you can read this, you haven't hit bottom yet

This weekend I was at a birthday party at a friend's house. At one point he and I lounged on his comfy couch, idly watching college football on ESPN2HD over the satellite feed on his 52" widescreen TV. As we sat there he railed against the $700 billion bailout package that was being rushed though Congress at the urging of the White House. "Where's my bailout?" he said. "Who's going to give me money to pay off my debts?"

At work some people are in panic mode. While others of us chuckle and whistle Skeeter Davis songs, they are making serious plans to cash out their 401(k) accounts. I think cooler heads have been able to convince them that this would be a mistake.

I ran into one of them this afternoon as he got a snack out of a vending machine. On the machine someone had taped a note:

MARK -
PLEASE STOCK ECLAIR
PIES AND MALLO CUPS
AGAIN. THANKS!

I laughed when I saw this sign. If we are at a point where people can be choosy about what varieties of overpriced junk food they want to have available in the vending machine, junk food that is easily available from a supermarket or even a big-box store for a fraction of the price, we're not in such bad shape.

Hell, I complain about the price of the gas I consume each day during my 66 mile commute in my 40 mpg Toyota Tercel.* But this means I have a job, and I have a car, and I have the ability to buy gas.

I got to thinking about the widescreen TV and the satellite feed and the house and the comfy couch and I thought hell, I have a friend whose computer broke and she can't afford to get it fixed and she'll be mostly offline until she can gather up enough money to get it done. The same could have been true for me: I am only online because a good and generous friend built me a new system to replace the overtaxed, obsolete one that died on me last Summer. Because of him, I am online. And, if you are reading this, so are you.** Which means you have (or have access to) a computer, and a monitor, and Internet service. How badly-off are you? How much worse could it get?

Yet strained as my finances are, there are many things I still could trim out of my monthly expenses. Oh, most of the low-hanging fruit is gone: I drive an ancient but highly economical car, almost all of our light bulbs are low-wattage fluorescents, I only rarely eat out (except with a gift card), discretionary purchases are down close to zero. But still there is more that can be trimmed out. There is always more.

I heard somebody quoted on NPR this morning as suggesting we are nearing a tipping point when it comes to the economy. I almost drove off the highway laughing. We are only "near" the tipping point in the sense that we passed it some time ago. Possibly when Merrill Lynch went under. Perhaps when Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac went down. Maybe when Bear Stearns bit the dust. Possibly sometime before. In any event, we have passed the tipping point, and are now in the accelerating collapse phase. It's not too late, not entirely. With an enormous amount of effort - an amount that increases exponentially with time - we can still pull this system back to something resembling stability. Oh, the damage is done; things have broken that cannot be repaired, things have gone away that will not be coming back. But there's still some time, some chance left for the economy, both in the U.S. and for the global economy.

Right now I feel that the economy is like Eddie Murphy's Aunt Bunny falling down the steps. (Video has NSFW / R-rated language.)



The fall seems to take forever, and we're still only partway down. Can we stop before we hit bottom?

And assuming we can - well, what then?


* $3.47/gallon today, 9/30/2008.
** Unless somebody printed it out and gave it to you. But who the hell would have done that?

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 8/21/08

Also known as the Late Summer Super Deluxe Jumbo Bonus Bumper Edition.

It's been a while since I've done one of these. I've got three weeks worth of grocery receipts and eight visits to gas stations in two states. I just missed out getting some grocery information from Maryland - my friend had already gone grocery shopping a few days before I got there.

Today's currency conversions, according to XE.com:

$1 =
  • 0.53296 GBP (British Pounds)
  • 0.67164 Euros
  • 1.04443 Canadian Dollars
  • 1.13876 Australian Dollars
  • 5.32026 NOK (Norway Kroners)
  • 24.2935 Russian Rubles
  • 1.41180 Georgia Lari
  • 6.86303 Chinese Yuan Renminbi
  • 108.431 Japanese Yen
  • 1,184.74 Iraq Dinars
  • 5,200.05 Turkmenistan Manats (fixed exchange rate)
  • 21.7790 Zimbabwe Dollars (Note: Zimbabwe dollars had ten zeroes "knocked off" on August 1, so this would be comparable to 217,790,000,000 in the "old" currency. This was, I think, one of the only currencies the US dollar was trending well against, and now we don't even have that. Still, it looks like we've gone up relative to most currencies since the last time I posted this.)
Gasoline
7/24/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.929/gallon
7/30/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.749/gallon
8/05/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.749/gallon
8/11/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.669/gallon
8/13/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.579/gallon
8/15/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.549/gallon
8/17/08, 87 octane, Exxon, Columbia MD: $3.759/gallon
8/18/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.559/gallon

Yes, I know. I bought gas from an Exxon. I apologize. If you can avoid buying from the Exxon in Columbia, MD, you should - their prices were not typical of what I saw advertised elsewhere in the Baltimore-Washington area.

Please understand that many of these are top-offs, not fill-ups. I typically need to fill up every 4-5 days, but with my big trip this weekend I needed to top off before I left, refill before I came back, and refill again after one work day.


Groceries

Weis Market, Nanticoke, PA, 8/5/08:

Milk, 2% milkfat, half-gallon: $1.86

Orange Juice, house brand, half-gallon: $2.50 (sale price, normally $2.99)

Apples, Gala, 3 lbs.: $4.99
California Celery, 1 stalk: $2.69
Cherries: $4.99 / lb.
Black Plums: $1.69/lb.
White Peaches: $2.49/lb.
Blueberries: $2.99/pint


Weis Market, Nanticoke, PA, 8/12/08:

Milk, 2% milkfat, half-gallon: $1.86
Bread, Maier's Italian Seeded, loaf (1 lb. 4 oz., or 567g): $3.19

Apples, Gala, 3 lbs.: $4.99
White Peaches: $2.49/lb.
Tree Plums: $2.49/lb.
California Celery, 1 stalk: $2.69
Cherries: $3.99 / lb.
Blueberries: $2.99/pint


Weis Market, Nanticoke, PA, 8/19/08:

Milk, 2% milkfat, half-gallon: $1.86
White Vinegar, gallon: $2.99

Orange Juice, house brand, half-gallon: $2.50 (sale price, normally $2.99)

Apples, Gala, 3 lbs.: $4.99
California Celery, 1 stalk: $2.69
Cherries: $4.99 / lb.
Black Plums: $1.69/lb.
Blueberries: $3.49/pint


Hmmm...the only fluctuations I'm seeing are in the prices of fruit. Still, this is meant to make long-term comparisons in time and distance, not really week-to-week. I wonder how these prices will look in a few years?

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 7/19/08

Here's the second edition of my personal Consumer Price Index, the list of how much I paid for common things. See how your prices compare!

Today's currency conversions, according to XE.com:

$1 =
  • 0.50033 GBP (British Pounds)
  • 0.63080 Euros
  • 1.00568 Canadian Dollars
  • 1.02805 Australian Dollars
  • 5.07950 NOK (Norway Kroners)
  • 106.965 Japanese Yen
  • 1,154.35 Iraq Dinars
  • 5,200.05 Turkmenistan Manats
  • 18,681,527,512.36 Zimbabwe Dollars
Gasoline
7/14/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.999/gallon
7/18/08, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA: $3.979/gallon


Groceries
From Weis Market, Nanticoke, PA, 7/15/08:

Milk, 2% milkfat, half-gallon: $1.94
Dozen Eggs, size "Large": $1.50 / dozen (sale price, normally $1.77 / dozen)
Bread, Maier's Italian Seeded, loaf (1 lb. 4 oz., or 567g): $3.19

Orange Juice, house brand, half-gallon: $2.50

California Celery, 1 stalk: $2.69
Cherries: $3.99 / lb. (sale price, normally $4.99 / lb)


Whiskas Cat Milk: $1.15 / container

From Gerrity's Market, Hanover Township, PA, 7/19/08:

Apples, Macintosh: $3.49 / 3 lb. bag
Cherries: $3.99 / lb. (sale price, normally $4.99 / lb.)


Whiskas Cat Milk: $2.99 / 3-pack

Other:
Haircut, $10 plus $2 tip
BERJAYA(This is from the last barber in Nanticoke. He runs an old-fashioned barber shop, but only keeps it open for a few hours each week. He's older than he looks but younger than he seems.)

First Class Stamps, 42 cents each

Shaving Soap, Williams brand, 1.75 ounces: $1.49
Shaving Soap, Van Der Hagen brand, 2.5 ounces: $1.99
(I bought two of the Williams and one of the VDH. I had a little scare when I walked into the drugstore and didn't see any shaving soap, or brushes either. But then I saw that they had actually been relocated to a higher, more visible, more accessible shelf. Still, I bought two cakes of the Williams - all that they had - and one of the VDH. This should last me at least a year. How many cans of shaving cream would I go through in that time?)

How do your prices compare?

Wednesday, July 02, 2008

Some quick hits

  • I did pay a lot for this muffler. Again.


  • PSC gas station in West Nanticoke on Route 11: DON'T GO THERE. How can they be selling gas for $3.939/gallon when everyone else is charging $3.999/gallon or more? Read the fine print: $3.939 is the cash price. If you pay with a credit card, like I did, you'll pay $4.019 a gallon. So I've technically paid more than $4.00/gallon for gas, even though I could have paid $3.999/gallon at half a dozen places I drove past - or even less, if I had noticed the fine print. It doesn't make much difference, less than 56 cents on this fill-up, but it's the principle of the thing - especially after I just dropped a week-and-a-half's take-home pay on getting a new exhaust system. So, don't get ripped off. Don't go there.


  • Mozilla has apparently not resolved the js3250.dll problem with the release of Firefox 3, judging by my traffic. Oh, well.


  • There will not be "two Moons on August 27" this year, or any other year. Nor will this take place on August 28 of this year, which is what my Sitemeter keeps telling me people are searching on. Last year there was actually a cool coincidence around this - the Full Moon was eclipsed in the pre-dawn hours for much of North America, so someone who went to sleep to a bright white Full Moon would have woken up to a big red thing setting in the West that looked a hell of a lot like a Moon-sized version of Mars!


  • There are actually some cool things coming up, including a total solar eclipse on August 1 - most of Eurasia will get to see at least a partial eclipse, though the total bit will only be visible in the extreme North - and a lunar eclipse the night of August 16-17 visible everywhere but North America! Plus, Mary of Minersville should be making her appearance soon - assuming nobody has replaced any windows or planted any trees that will ruin the reflections!

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Another Monkey Consumer Price Index, 6/24/08

Ever since I temporarily moved to Delaware in 1989 through 1991, I've been fascinated by the price differences between different places. How much does the price of necessities vary from place to place? What about luxury goods? And do either of these vary based on varying income levels or housing costs? And how do prices for staples vary over time?

I'm no economist, but I do have a tool at my disposal to record the prices of items and give others the opportunity to compare them. This blog.

Today was shopping day. I saved the receipt and noted the prices of several items that may be common in different parts of the world. I'm indicating the price and the size, so these can be translated into the home units for anyone in another country. (I generally use XE.com to convert currency, but currency conversion rates vary from day to day, and I don't know if XE has historical exchange rate data.) I also bought gas yesterday, so I'll throw that in, too.

Here are the exchange rates for one U.S. dollar on 6/24/08, according to XE.com:

$1 =

  • 0.507462 GBP (British Pounds)
  • 0.64215 Euros
  • 1.01238 Canadian Dollars
  • 1.04543 Australian Dollars
  • 5.11534 NOK (Norway Kroners)
  • 107.675 Japanese Yen
  • 1,193.75 Iraq Dinars
  • 5,200.05 Turkmenistan Manats
  • 9,005,149,886.88 Zimbabwe Dollars
So without further ado, here's the inaugural edition of the Another Monkey Consumer Price Index!

Gas, 87 octane, Sam's Club, Wilkes-Barre PA, 6/23/08: $3.959/gallon

Groceries from Weis Market, Nanticoke, PA, 6/24/08:

Milk, 2% milkfat, half-gallon: $1.82
Flour, 5 lbs.: $2.19
House Brand Plain Lowfat Yogurt, 32 oz.: $2.59
Brer Rabbit Blackstrap Molasses, 16 oz.: $3.39

California Celery, 1 stalk: $2.69
Macintosh apples, 3 lbs.: $3.49
Strawberries, 16 oz.: $3.99 (buy one, get one free)
Blueberries, 1 U.S. dry pint, $3.99 (buy one, get one free)
Seedless Watermelon: $0.49/ounce
Onions, yellow, 5 lbs.: $3.99
Potatoes, Russet, 10 lbs.: $5.99
Barley, bag, 16 oz.: $0.99

Gatorade (comparable to Lucozade), 32 oz.: $1.47 (on sale for $1)
House brand diet soda (pop/fizzy drink), 2 liters: $0.80
Chocolate bar, Hershey's, 5 oz.: $1.29 (on sale for $1)

How do your prices compare?

Saturday, May 17, 2008

The gas surcharge

I got my first car back in 1992. For the first 24 years of my life I was able to get along without a car, getting rides from other people or riding a bike as necessary. But in 1992 I got a job at a place over 33 miles away, and I needed a car. Not just any car. A good, reliable, affordable, and fuel-efficient vehicle. I got a used 1990 Toyota Tercel and kept it until its engine blew in 1996. (The replacement 1996 Tercel is the car I am still driving today.)

Having a car was great. I could now get from point A to point Z very quickly. If I wanted to see a friend somewhere far away, I just hopped in the car and - bingo-bango - I was there. All stuff most people take for granted. But this was all new to me.

One Sunday morning I was up early and getting ready to meet a friend at a record show later that morning. I think the show opened at 11:00, so it must've been around 8:30 when I decided to take a quick run to the Poconos to visit some friends before the show. I jumped in the car, zipped up on 81 for a bit, then turned onto 115 and rode that down to their rented house near Split Rock Lodge. I popped in, said hi, hung out for a few minutes, and then zipped back up 115 to meet my friend at the record show. The ride was a good 45 minutes down and about 40 minutes back. About 60 miles round-trip. Just for the heck of it.

Back then, gas was just over $1 a gallon, and nobody thought much of going for a joyride on a Sunday morning. Today, with gas at $3.75 a gallon, I don't do that sort of thing quite as often. That same trip would set me back $7 in gas alone. A visit to my friends in their retreat in the southernmost reaches of the Pocono plateau costs more like $12, not counting Turnpike tolls. Visiting friends in New Jersey costs around $18. And driving to and from the Baltimore / Washington area is over $40.

Once upon a time the cost of the gas used to visit my friends would have meant nothing to me. But times have changed.

A new Ace Hardware moved into an empty location at the Hanover Mall just outside of Nanticoke two weeks ago. While it's nice to have such a place within easy reach - Nanticoke's two hardware stores went out of business shortly after Wal-Mart moved into the area - I find they don't have a lot of the stuff I need. Well, I was able to get some bird netting there, almost by accident. But they had never heard of the sophisticated technology known as a "rain barrel", nor did they have anything specifically designed to be used as a composter. And when I called today to ask if they had any Bt for use against tent caterpillars, they said no - but pointed out that they had plenty of insecticides I could use on them instead. I said thanks, but no, thanks.

The Agway in Dallas doesn't have rain barrels, either - at least the girl that I asked last year had never heard of such a thing. And any composters they have are probably overpriced. But they do have Bt. If I don't do something soon, my cherry trees may be completely defoliated. I'll just have to bite the bullet and spend the $4 in gas on the round trip there and back again.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

$3.59

Gas prices have gone up twenty cents in less than two weeks.

Let me rewind a bit. As of Thursday, April 17th the cheapest gas I could find to fill up my mom's tank was $3.39 a gallon.

That Monday, the 21st, I needed gas for my own car, and at the same location the gas was now $3.45 a gallon. OK, six cents in four days. That's a lot, but...

Usually I follow a set pattern in gas buying. Fill up the tank, run it out to nearly empty, fill it up again. Three times every two weeks. In the past that made sense for me as a good balance of cost vs. time spent going for gas. But with the price of gas rocketing up every day, now it makes more sense to fill up as often as I can. If I wait, I'll be maximizing both the amount of gas I need to buy and the price I'll pay for it. By topping off more frequently, I'm paying incrementally higher prices each day, but I'm buying less gas all at once.

When I went to top off on Wednesday the 23rd the price had jumped to $3.55 a gallon. Ten cents in two days. EDITED AFTER CHECKING RECORDS TO ADD: And when I got gas again on Friday the 25th it was up another two cents to $3.57.

As of yesterday, the 28th, the price was $3.59 a gallon.

I haven't topped off since last week. I'll probably go tomorrow for something closer to a fill-up. I wonder what the price will be then?

UPDATE, 4/30/08: Filled up today, and prices had plummetted to $3.58 a gallon. WOO-HOO! At this rate, they'll be giving it away for free within a year!

Monday, February 04, 2008

The Golden Age

A lot of Republicans talk about the return of a Clinton to the White House as the most disastrous thing that can befall this country. Others publicly express the fervent hope that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee for President, because they see her as a potentially unifying force for the Republican party, whose members might set aside their differences and their varying claims of being the true Conservatives or legitimate heirs to the Reagan legacy and unite to prevent the hated wife of a hatred former President from becoming the next President.

What is their issue, anyway? Let's assume for a moment that this isn't simply so much bluster being directed against a Democratic candidate simply for being a Democratic candidate. Their hatred seems to be specifically directed at both Bill and Hillary Clinton.

Were the Clinton years really that bad? Were things worse then than they are today?

Well, in a word: no. In two words, Hell no. Unless you happen to be suckling at the teat of the Military-Industrial Complex - which, as I discovered during last year's job search, provides a hell of a lot of jobs locally in the manufacture of artillery, munitions, armor, and assorted materiel. So, actually, there are quite a few people who fall into that category and may have reason to fear an end to the perpetual state of war that is the legacy of George W. Bush and the promise of almost all of his party's potential nominees.

The economy was fantastically better back in Clinton's days. Gas prices were a fraction of what they are today, languishing below $1 a gallon for a longish while. We were not in a state of constant warfare, with National Guard troops mobilized and pulled away from the Nation they were supposed to be Guarding. You could even say we were experiencing an era of peace and prosperity, of hope and unlimited potential.

Peace does not mean the absence of war, nor does it mean the absence of attacks against us. Under Clinton, the United States participated in a NATO bombing campaign in Bosnia and Herzegovina. And the United States and its forces were the targets of terrorist attacks: On February 26, 1993, a little more than a month after Bill Clinton had taken the oath of office for the first time, a bomb was detonated in the World Trade Center, killing six people and injuring many others. On June 25, 1996, nineteen U.S. servicemen were killed in the Khobar Towers bombing. On August 7, 1998, hundreds were killed in coordinated, simultaneous bombings at two U.S. embassies in Africa. On October 12, 2000, the U.S.S. Cole was attacked, killing seventeen sailors. Then there was Somalia, and Waco, and Oklahoma City, and Columbine, and...

OK, so not everything was lemonade and ice cream on the "Peace" side of things. When it comes to "Prosperity"...well, naturally, things were not perfect there, either. A lot of people remember the dot-com bust (or "dot-com bubble"), but how many remember the telecom bubble and the biotech bubble? (Required reading for anyone planning to invest: Charles Mackay's classic Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.) And many people think that the decline of the airlines began with September 11, 2001, but in reality it began somewhat earlier.

But almost everyone was rich...on paper. More than that. The system was set up to be self-sustaining: 401(k) investments fed the stock market a few dollars at a time, and increasing stock values encouraged additional investment. As a friend and I discussed during a night out on the town in Philadelphia in 1997, this mechanism made the stock market seemingly crash-proof; not only would everyone have to pull out their investments to destabilize the market, but they would also have to go through the tedious paperwork of changing their 401(k) allocations. I believe we may have used the words "permanently high plateau"...

Still. The general attitude was one of optimism and hope. Things were looking up, especially for the middle class.

Especially for me.

Sometimes I wonder if my attitudes towards this time are colored by my own experiences - experiences which don't necessarily apply to the rest of the world.

Professionally, for instance. At the start of the Clinton Era I was transitioning from being an Operator in the CD Plating department of Specialty Records to being one of two SPC Coordinators for all of Pre-Production. By the end of those years I was deeply into being the DVD Asset Manager for Warner Advanced Media Operations (WAMO) at their Compression, Encoding, and Authoring center - one of the finest DVD Authoring Studios at that time. During those years CDs peaked, and DVDs were rapidly ascendant. And why not? With the economy doing so well, everyone could afford a DVD player.

Personally - well, it wasn't all great. Both my Grandmother and my Father had strokes. My dog Kitty died. The engine in my car seized up and I had to buy a new car. My Grandmother died. A few friends' marriages fell apart. But other friends got married, and things have worked out for them. New animals came into my life. And through a program of diet and exercise I lost a lot of weight, for a little while (1997 - 2001) at least. I traveled a lot, including several trips to Florida.

Music-wise - well, some people are going to tell you that the best music came out of the 1960's, or the 1970's, or even the 1980's. For me, the 1990's were the best years for music. Alternative and techno and dance were the soundtrack of my life, the stuff that played in my car and at the bars and clubs and concerts I went to. But Alternative music became mainstream, and eventually collapsed on itself. And I relinquished the bars and clubs and concerts to a younger generation.

It wasn't a perfect time. Clinton was far from perfect, and he will be remembered for his faults as much as anything. And he was beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyrrany of evil men - or at least a Congress hell-bent on removing him from office, at any cost. Which, ultimately, they failed to do.

Was it a Golden Age? It was for me. Was it for the rest of the nation? The rest of the world? I don't know. History will decide, but its decision will be based in part on the accounts we leave.

In the end I think the Clinton Era sowed the seeds of its own undoing. When Al Gore ran against George W. Bush in 2000, the record of success of his former running-mate should have easily propelled him into the White House for a thematically and philosophically continuous term. But the electorate had grown fat and happy; and, sated as they were, they began to wonder if maybe things could be even better if they tried something else, if they voted for the candidate who was promising tax cuts and tax rebates for all. And so a great many Undecideds went into the voting booth in November 2000 and brought Gore's margin of victory to within the limits of measurement. And then five political appointees decided to end that measurement and grant the victory to George W. Bush.

Was it a Golden Age? I think so. It was a damn sight better than what we've endured for the past seven years. What we will have to endure for another ten months and seventeen days.

And then, perhaps, a new Golden Age will be upon us.

Maybe.

Wednesday, January 31, 2007

Mayhem of the Mooninites

I did some bill-paying at the Nanticoke City Building today - sewer (city), sewer (Wyoming Valley Sanitary Authority), and garbage (one side of the house only), attempted to mail some packages (line too long), picked up my aunt, dropped my mom off for her procedure around 1:00, drove my aunt to my cousin's, mailed my packages (the line had gone away), and then had about an hour to kill until I would be expecting the call to come for my mom. I was in a dollar store picking up St. Patrick's Day decorations when I got a call that they were running about a half-hour late at the pain clinic. With the extra time I hit Sam's Club and picked up packing tape (I used the last of mine on the packages) and Scotch tape and a dispenser (need it for my house.) Then I topped off my mom's gas tank ($2.149/gallon.) I had just started the journey back to the pain clinic when I got a call that they would be ready for me to get her in about 15-20 minutes. I veered into a Toys'R'Us parking lot and decided to hunt for more of the Cars Rip-Cord Racers that I was able to get for one nephew's birthday but which were unavailable just before Christmas. I didn't have to look hard - they were in a display as soon as you walked in the door. I grabbed two, looked around for a few minutes, checked out, and headed to the pain clinic.

Where I waited, since there was nobody at the desk.

I sat there for a few minutes and noticed that the crowd in the waiting room was strangely hushed and intensely focused on the television, more so than with a typical episode of Jerry Springer or Judge Judy. The TV was mounted on the wall, out of my line of sight, but the announcer was saying something about suspicious electronic devices being found around Boston. Was it a terrorist attack, or was it a prank? No one knew, but many highways and bridges in Boston were shut down as a result. The packages featured lights in the shape of a character from Aqua Teen Hunger Force, part of the Adult Swim block on Cartoon Network...

WHAT??!!, I interrobanged.

I quickly moved to a place where I could see the TV. There was Ignignokt - or was it Err? - showing his middle finger to the camera. The image of the Mooninite stood defiant, challenging.

Well, at least it ain't Shake.

Someone came to the desk and let me know that my mom would be out in a minute and I should bring the car around to the door. The one minute dragged on to more than ten and I sat in the car listening to NPR's All Things Considered trying to glean some information about the ATHF scare in Boston. They mentioned it only briefly.

We went for a late breakfast - it was after 4:00, but my mom had not yet eaten and she wanted breakfast, which fortunately is served at the Cracker Barrel all day. On the way home NPR had an update on the Boston situation: it wasn't a bomb threat or a prank, but part of a Turner Broadcasting marketing campaign that had been going on for weeks in several cities.

Why was it just noticed now, and why in Boston? I have no idea. Why did authorities believe this was a threat? Because the devices contained circuit boards, wires, and batteries, components that are also found in bombs. Note to Boston: these components are also found in pretty much EVERY OTHER GODDAMN PIECE OF ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT IN THE WORLD. TIME YOU START NOTICING. It's like saying blogs are possibly terrorist threats because both blogs and terrorist threats use words arranged into sentences. Actually, it's more like when police arrested several people participating in an outdoor zombie role-play (please don't ask) in Minneapolis because they felt that the wires that led into backpacks they were wearing might possibly be components of bombs. The wires turned out to be headphone cords leading to iPods. iPods. Ever hear of them?

So. Boston is threatening criminal action against anyone who perpetrated this "hoax". Will they follow through? I don't know. Remember, this is the city that dealt with fans celebrating the Red Sox's 2004 World Series victory by firing pepper spray canisters into a non-violent crowd. They killed one girl, a college student, by putting a canister directly into her eye. I suppose she experienced unimagineable pain and suffering in the time it took for her to die as the pepper spray pumped into her skull by way of her eye socket. Way to go, Boston's Finest!

But I'm not sure how "guerilla marketing" like this - sticking up little electronic lighted billboards here and there without first getting permits or even asking the permission of the property owners - doesn't fall in the same category as graffiti and other acts of public vandalism. I mean, I can't just slap ads for Another Monkey all over the place, wherever I think people will notice. Or can I? Hmmm...

Well, assuming that nobody does hard time for this, it looks like the publicity stunt for Aqua Teen Hunger Force: The Movie was more successful than Turner could have hoped!

(For an excellent account of this event, go here. I think I might be in love with Gael Fashingbauer Cooper.)

Monday, January 29, 2007

Even more snow

This Winter has been a wimp snow-wise, compared to previous Winters. Yesterday we had our second measurable snowfall, little more than an inch. Still, it was enough to require cleaning the steps, porch and sidewalk, something I had to do at two houses.

The snow slowed down enough by 10:00 last night for it to make sense to start clearing it. I swept off our porch and steps here and lightly sprinkled them with de-icing pellets, since there was a thin veneer of ice under the snow. Then I went to my new house and used a shovel to scoop away the snow on my sidewalks and my neighbors' sidewalks on either side. After again sparingly sprinkling some pellets onto the sidewalks, I used a wimpy little dollar-store broom to sweep enough of the steps for me to get up and down easily. Then I pulled out a more substantial old wooden push-broom to finish the job - which it didn't, since the handle promptly snapped off at the head. I used the dollar-store broom to finish sweeping the steps there, then came back here to clean the sidewalks.

So today I had to stop at Sam's Club to make some purchases. Gas ($2.159/gallon, down about twenty cents in the last month), a good-quality push broom ($8.78), a decent-quality corn broom ($5.48), two two-packs of rubbing alcohol ($3.08 each - we were all out), and 50 lbs. of calcium chloride de-icing pellets ($17.48 - I used most of what we had left from last year yesterday.) Unplanned expenses, but necessary. We'll see what the rest of the Winter has in store for us!

Monday, November 20, 2006

The midterm election and the price of gas

I updated my gas mileage / gas price spreadsheet to include data collected since the last time I posted on this topic back in April. I was going to include the graphs here, but getting them from the old MS Works Spreadsheet application to something that looks good on my blog is a little more work than I wanted to engage in tonight. For now, you will have to trust my descriptions of the graphs.

The mileage chart does not show any surprises: values ranging from a high of 41.8 mpg on 9/2/06 (fill-up at a Sunoco on the Pennsylvania Turnpike on the way to the Felberpalooza!) to a low of 33.8 mpg on 10/18, with a high "run" in July and August and a general trend that correlates fuel economy to temperature. (Did we have an unusually warm April? I'll have to look that up.)

The price of gas is another story.

One of the urban legends around the price of gas is that the Bush Administration is responsible for manipulating the gas prices to benefit their cronies in the oil industry while at the same time playing on the American public's lack of long-term memory by convincing them that any momentary drop in the price of gasoline is an indication of good times ahead. This has been thoroughly debunked by analysts who have pointed out that any influence one powerful family and one powerful government can exert on the behavior of the industry as a whole is negligible compared to market forces, supply, infrastructure considerations, and the weather.

This didn't slow down people from strongly suggesting that the Bush Administration was responsible for a decline in gas prices in the weeks leading up to the midterm election. And this myth was only reinforced when Bush, during one of the many, many political support trips he took during those crucial pre-election weeks, cited dropping gas prices as a reason why voters should maintain the political status quo. Vote for the Democrats and gas prices will go up!

So what does this look like graphically?

From the end of April to the end of June we see a downward tend in prices, from $2.939/gallon on 4/27 to $2.679/gallon on 6/23. Prices then climb to a high (for this data set) of $2.999/gallon on 8/3 and begin a long, downward slide, interrupted only by the anomalous price of gas at the Pennsylvania Turnpike Sunoco where I stopped going to and coming back from the Felberpalooza - but these points don't directly compare to my other price data, since they represent a whole other set of local price considerations.

The end of this slide actually came just before the election. Gas prices hit a minimum of $2.139/gallon on 11/2. On my very next fill-up (at the same station as the $2.139 gas) gas was two cents more a mere five days later, on 11/7 - Election Day. The price jumped another four cents to $2.199/gallon by 11/13, and on 11/17 - my last fill-up - the price had jumped another seven cents to $2.269/gallon, a total increase of 11 cents per gallon since Election Day, or 13 cents per gallon since the minimum price on 11/2.

Did the Bush Administration manipulate the cost of gas in the weeks leading up to the election? If they did, I wasn't very impressed, and neither were a sufficient number of voters. If you want to get my attention, take us back to the happy days of 1999 and the Clinton Administration, when gas was under a dollar a gallon! In the meantime, I guess we'll have to watch and see what happens to the price of gas in the coming weeks.

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Discretionary Income; or, How the rising price of gasoline is affecting Tom Cruise

I work in a factory that manufactures CDs and DVDs. I am not exactly what you would call a "factory worker", but I am a little too hands-on to be classified as an "office worker." I am the Asset Manager for our DVD Compression, Encoding, and Authoring department. That means that I get the bits and pieces that will become all the video and audio features on the DVD from our clients, and then I figure out how they will all fit onto a little shiny disc. After a few mathematical magic tricks, the project assets are ready for my friends to Compress, and Encode, and Author.*

So in a sense I'm in both the manufacturing industry and the entertainment industry. We are, first and foremost, a manufacturing facility, with gazillions of widgets being popped out every so many days.** But the product we make is essentially an entertainment consumable. It's something people want to buy to keep themselves entertained.

Over the years I've learned bits and pieces of business terminology. "Fixed costs", for example, are extremely important to understand in everything from factories to schools to hospitals to the Space Shuttle program. If you don't understand your fixed costs and how they relate to your total costs, you don't have a hope in hell in business.

A more personal business term that I've learned is "discretionary income." This is the money that's left over from your paycheck after you've paid for all the things that must be paid for - taxes, housing, food, necessary transportation. This is the money you can spend, or save, as you please. This is the money that pays for your satellite dish and your HDTV and going out to eat three or four times a month. This is the money you spend on vacations and road trips. This is the money that you spend on CDs or DVDs or going to the movies.

Three years ago gas was, according to my records, about $1.50 a gallon, half of what it is today. Six years ago it was closer to $1.00 a gallon. I consume about 600 gallons of gas a year, mostly for going back and forth to work. I am spending $900 a year more on gas than I did three years ago, and $1200 a year more than I did six years ago. That's a lot less discretionary income for me to play with, a lot fewer CDs and DVDs and trips to the movies that I can spend money on.

Mission: Impossible III opened this past weekend and took in more than $47.7 million dollars - a box office gross that is considered disappointing by Hollywood, at least for a Tom Cruise film. That crazy Scientologist Tom Cruise and his crazy couch-jumping antics, the Hollywood analysts say. See how he has hurt the opening weekend box office for this film.

Well, yes, that may be true. Tom Cruise's Year of Living Weirdly has perhaps taken a toll on the public perception of an actor who was once considered a bit odd, a lot private, but generally kinda nice and likeable. But is that why people didn't go to see his movie?

The price of gas is up. Discretionary income is down. Even if you use you car for nothing more than getting to work, you are still paying twice what you were three years ago, three times what you were paying six years ago. You might not have noticed, but you really do have less money in your wallet after you've paid for all the things that must be paid for. That means you have less money to spend on eating out, or going on vacation, or on CDs, or DVDs, or movies.

People say, "When will the high price of gas start affecting the economy?" I say, it already has. It's affecting me, as people choose not to spend their discretionary income on CDs and DVDs. It's affecting Tom Cruise, as people choose not to spend their discretionary income on going to the movies. It will eventually affect every sector of the economy, as people continue to reprioritize their discretionary spending - or worse, opt to go deeper in debt for that new car or widescreen HDTV or other luxury item that they simply cannot live without.

But there is something you can do about it. Something you can do which will have a positive impact on the economy. Something that will help make American jobs more secure.

Buy more DVDs. (Cue The Battle Hymn of the Republic.) Yes, by buying more DVDs, DVDs that have been made in America***, you are helping the economy, and helping to make American jobs more secure. My job in particular. Screw Tom Cruise, he's loaded. Spend your discretionary income on DVDs.

Thank you for your support.


*This is a completely different process than what you might be doing in your basement with the "DVD Authoring" program that came with your new computer.

**This is a lot cavalier of me. Our widgets are extremely sophisticated, complicated, high-tech widgets, and I do not mean in any way to imply that this is the same sort of process that's used to make pancakes or bottlecaps or soapdishes.

***Check the back first to make sure they're not stamped "MADE IN MEXICO" - those discs don't do anything to help me, though they may in the long run have a positive effect on the illegal immigration situation
.

Saturday, April 29, 2006

Mileage, 2000 - 2006

I dug another one of my gas mileage notepads out of my glove compartment. This one covered 10/1/2000 through 11/7/2003, which is where my previous charts picked up. So I added the older data to the spreadsheet I made the other day and more than doubled the number of data points.
BERJAYA1996 Toyota Tercel fuel economy
(miles per gallon)
10/1/2000 - 4/23/2006

The vertical black lines indicate December 1, and the vertical blue lines indicate June 1. I have placed labels for each year centered on the June 1 mark (with the exceptions of 2006, which is placed on the extreme right of the chart, and 2000, which is not labeled but is represented by all the points to the left of the first vertical black line.) By expanding the y-axis to concentrate the data in the middle third of the chart the sinusoidal nature of my gas mileage becomes pretty clear, reaching a peak in mid-Summer and a minimum in mid-Winter. Keep in mind that my driving habits do not vary significantly throughout the year: each workweek I put on at least 333 miles (5 x 66.6 miles). I take several long trips in the Summer, but do a lot of long trips in the Winter, too, especially around Christmas. Note the interesting lack of data points above 37 or 38 mpg in the Summer of 2004. I wonder what brought that on?

BERJAYAPrice per gallon of gas
(in dollars)

One interesting feature comes out of the expanded price-per-gallon data: notice the dip down towards $1.00/gallon, a price not seen since the heady* days of the Clinton administration. Looking at the data shows that the drop began around 10/15/2001 (when gas fell below $1.30/gallon), reached a minimum on 12/12/2001 (when it hit $1.039/gallon), and ended around 3/23/2002 (when it rose above $1.30/gallon, never to return.**) This was a five-month period starting one month after the September 11, 2001 attacks.

I still have another six years of notebooks floating around somewhere, including another four-and-a-half years of data for this car. But I'm really interested in knowing if anybody else has been keeping records of this sort?

*Heh heh, heh heh.
**That's not true. Prices dropped below $1.30/gallon on 11/22/2002 - way below, down to $1.249/gallon. Prices rose above $1.299 again with the 12/19/2002 fill-up, up to $1.459/gallon. Then they never dropped below $1.30/gallon again.

Tuesday, April 25, 2006

Gas and money

SuperG rightly pointed out that my gas mileage chart would benefit from labels on the x-axis. Unfortunately the program I am working with is so basic that there is no easy way to create the labels. I resorted to doing a screen grab of my graphs after they had been manipulated to make the length of the x-axis approximately equal, pasting it into Adobe PhotoDeluxe, and drawing vertical lines manually to indicate changes into December, March, June, and September for each year. The spacing between lines is not consistent because the data was collected sporadically, each time I put gas in my tank. The more fillups in a given period, the more data points. Full disclosure: I threw out two data points where I only topped off my tank, adding two or so gallons of gas. Because gas mileage is very dependent on the way you drive, I wanted to stick with large sample sizes where individual trip variations would be smoothed out over an entire tank of gas.
BERJAYA1996 Toyota Tercel fuel economy
(miles per gallon)
11/12/03 - 4/23/06

Comparing this chart to my previous Mileage chart will reveal a drop in the average fuel economy, from nearly 36mpg to closer to 35mpg. This is because this new version of the chart includes data from November 2003 through March 2004 that was not included on the previous chart, and fuel economy suffers in the Winter months (as can easily be seen on the chart) due to the greater density of cold air. The average fuel economy was determined by dividing the sum of all mileage measurements by the sum of all gallons of gas added.

BERJAYAPrice per gallon of gas
(in dollars)
11/12/03 - 4/23/06


While I had my little notebook in front of me I decided to punch in all of the prices of gas (per gallon) that I had recorded over the same period. Note that gas prices can vary widely from place to place, especially from state to state, and these data points represent many different filling stations. Still, general trends are obvious: a gradual climb from February through May 2004, stabilizing (or at least showing variation around a semi-constant value) from June 2004 through March 2005. There is another, steeper rise from March 2005 through August 2005, spiking abruptly in the wake of Hurricane Katrina in September 2005. Prices dropped fairly quickly through the end of 2005 - though never below where they were the previous March - but rose again through February 2006, only to drop off again in March - but not to pre-December 2005 levels. Since then prices have risen again to post-Katrina levels.

So, why are prices so high? I'm no economist, and there are plenty of analysts who have actually studied this situation. But I think the undiminished demand for fuel in the days following Katrina caused the people who set the prices on gas - or, shall we say, "the market" - to realize that higher price points will not result in reduction in consumption. It would be a bad business practice for them to sell gasoline for less than people are willing to pay for it. And we are all poorer as a result, save those who are invested in oil stocks.

So how much are you willing to pay for a gallon of gas?