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The US is experiencing the worst springtime drought on record, but the weather seems to be changing and the change may be due to a rapidly developing El Nino.

“The Fake News was wrong (again).”
“Cheapest Summer Gas Prices in Four Years”

ICYMI: Cheapest Summer Gas Prices in Four Years – The White House

ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p3/sh/osisaf_sh_sie_daily.txt

The US is experiencing the worst springtime drought on record

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/drought/psi/psi-202603.png

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/climdiv/climdiv-pdsidv-v1.0.0-20240606

Conditions have worsened during April

Contiguous U.S. | U.S. Drought Monitor

Temperatures at Imperial, Nebraska have averaged 10F above the post 1895 average, and have been far above normal almost every day.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/daily/all/USC00254110.dly

Northern Colorado is completely barren.  Normally this spot would be very green by late April.

Snowpack in the west is at an historic low.

NWCC iMap

Wolf Creek Pass is frequently the snowiest place in Colorado, and snowpack peaks there normally during April. In 1980 I skied there in July, but this year there is no snow.

NWCC iMap

Streamflow in much of the US is at a record low.

USGS | National Water Dashboard

At the current rate of decline, Lake Powell would be empty in a little over three years. This can’t actually happen, but is an interesting reference point.

Water is being withdrawn from Lake Powell about 1.5 times faster that it is being replenished.

https://lakepowell.water-data.com/

Lake Powell has lost nine feet of water since the end of January.

Wahweap Main Launch Ramp Webcam (U.S. National Park Service)

But there is about to be a change in the weather, with lots of rain forecast in some of the drought areas.

This may be due to the rapid increase in Nino 3.4 sea surface temperatures as El Nino forms.

Climate Reanalyzer

Lake Powell filled up during the 1983 El Nino, and made a significant recovery during the 2023 El Nino

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/detrend.nino34.ascii.txt

The Palmer Drought Severity Index for March 2026 was the worst on record, worst than March 1934 and March 1977.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/climdiv/climdiv-pdsidv-v1.0.0-20240606

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/drought/psi/psi-202603.png

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/drought/psi/psi-193403.gif

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/drought/psi/psi-197703.gif

Streamflow in many US rivers is near or at a record low.

USGS | National Water Dashboard

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