Abstract
This article reports on the theoretical output of a design research study, which concerns the design of a learning environment (LE) for helping students challenge the ‘balance of nature’-idea and reach an up-to-date understanding about ecosystems’ contingency. Our focus is set on whether it is feasible to articulate an empirically tested theory of teaching/learning about contingency in nature while designing our LE. The study included an exploratory phase (EP) and three research cycles (RC1–3). The participants were first year educational sciences students who collaboratively explored computer models that simulated ecosystems’ response to changes, in order to understand the underlying contingency. In the EP, we defined learning objectives/design criteria that informed the LE’s first version. This was driven by the global/overall question of how ecosystems may function, which was explored through inter-connected local/partial questions with the aid of scaffold questions embedded in worksheets linked to the computer models. Drawing upon the RC1 results, we introduced two-version models for each change that the peer groups had to explore and assigned the first version to half and the second to the other half. These changes made it through RC2-RC3 and account for key features of the study’s theoretical output, the ‘Bifurcated Domino Path Approach’. The RC3 results show that it works effectively, and thus, we suggest that the design of LEs addressing contingency in ecosystem’s response can integrate bifurcated domino paths with several (a) forks, where some peer groups explore one version of the target phenomenon and others an alternative one and (b) meeting points, where they all share their different, contingency-indicating conclusions.





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Funding
This study was funded by the Research Committee of the University of Patras via Constantin Carathéodory 2010 project; it was also partly funded by the A.G. Leventis Foundation.
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Appendix: The pre-post questionnaire
Appendix: The pre-post questionnaire
1.1 Item 1: Protected Ecosystem
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Pre-test: Consider a certain forest that hosts populations of plants, animals and decomposers. This forest is a national park – namely a totally protected area where any human activity is forbidden. The size of the populations is regularly monitored by the scientists of the park who study their course in time. In the absence of natural disturbances, how do you think this forest will look some years later compared to how it initially looked according to the given description?
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Post-test: Consider an aquatic park that hosts populations of plants, animals and decomposers. This aquatic park is a totally protected area where any human activity is forbidden. The size of the populations is regularly monitored by the scientists of the park who study their course in time. In the absence of natural disturbances, how do you think this aquatic park will look some years later compared to how it initially did according to the given description?
1.2 Item 3: Disturbed Ecosystem / Biotic Change
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Pre-test: Consider a certain lake that hosts plant populations of phytoplankton (microscopic plants of various species) and water plants, animal populations of zooplankton (microscopic animals of various species), fish, sea birds and decomposers. The city council of a nearby city decides to add in this lake a new fish population (cyprinids). The introduction of this new fish population changes the situation within the lake: some populations decrease and some others increase in size. Sometime later, the city council decides to remove all the cyprinids from the lake and as a consequence there is no population of cyprinids left there. How do you think this lake will look some years later compared to how it initially looked (before the introduction of the cyprinids) according to the given description?
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Post-test: Consider a certain forest that hosts populations of plants, animals and decomposers. The city council of a nearby city decides to add in this forest a new animal population (mongooses). The introduction of this new animal population changes the situation within the forest: some populations decrease and some others increase in size. Sometime later, the city council decides to remove all the mongooses from the forest and as a consequence there is no population of mongooses left there. How do you think this forest will look some years later compared to how it initially did (before the introduction of the mongooses) according to the given description?
1.3 Item 4: Disturbed Ecosystem/Abiotic Change
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Pre-test: Consider a certain lake that hosts plant populations of phytoplankton (microscopic plants of various species) and water plants, animal populations of zooplankton (microscopic animals of various species), fish, sea birds and decomposers. The city council of a nearby city decides to throw treated wastewater in the lake for a certain period of time which increases the water salinity and, as a result, some populations decrease, some others increase in size and one fish population disappears. Sometime later, the salinity of the water restores its initial level thanks to the efforts of a group of scientists and the disappeared fish population is reintroduced. How do you think this lake will look some years later compared to how it initially did (before the salinity increase) according to the given description?
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Post-test: Consider a certain lake that hosts plant populations of phytoplankton (microscopic plants of various species) and water plants, animal populations of zooplankton (microscopic animals of various species), fish and sea birds and decomposers. The city council of a nearby city decides to throw nutrients in the lake for a certain period of time and, as a result, some populations decrease, some others increase in size and one fish population disappears. Sometime later, the number of nutrients in the lake restores its initial level thanks to the efforts of a group of scientists and the disappeared fish population is reintroduced. How do you think this lake will look some years later compared to how it initially did (before the nutrients increase) according to the given description?
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Ampatzidis, G., Ergazaki, M. Challenging Students’ Belief in the ‘Balance of Nature’ Idea. Sci & Educ 27, 895–919 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-018-0017-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-018-0017-5



